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Old 12-09-2010, 11:56 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default The Space Shuttle's Lessons For The Future

The Space Shuttle's Lessons For The Future

By Frank Morring, Jr.

The second flight of the space shuttle Atlantis was almost its last.

What was then NASA’s newest orbiter sustained severe damage to its fragile thermal protection system when it lifted off from Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39B on Dec. 2, 1988. But through a combination of military secrecy and plain old human misunderstanding, the problem went unaddressed until Atlantis returned to Earth four days later.

The STS-27 mission was the second shuttle flight after the fatal Challenger mission, an urgent “black” mission to orbit the Lacrosse-1 radar-reconnaissance satellite for the National Reconnaissance Office (AW&ST July 9, 2007, p. 28). The military space program was backing away from the shuttle as fast as it could in the wake of the accident (see p. 59), but it had built payloads like the first of the billion-dollar Lacrosse satellites that could only be launched on the shuttle.

Liftoff seemed normal to the crew and the launch team, but engineers at Johnson Space Center reviewing imagery of the ascent later saw something break away from the nose of the right-hand solid rocket booster and hit the orbiter. As a precaution, the Atlantis crew unlimbered the robotic arm and used its video camera to inspect the fragile tiles in the apparent impact zone on the starboard side.

“[W]e could see that at least one tile had been completely blasted from the fuselage,” writes arm-operator Mike Mullane in his memoir, Riding Rockets. “The white streaking [indicating tile damage] grew thicker and faded aft beyond the view of the camera. It appeared that hundreds of tiles had been damaged and the scars extended outboard toward the carbon-composite panels on the leading edge of the wing.”

A crack in one of those same panels would destroy Columbia 14 years later, and the Atlantis crew understood the danger as they watched the video with growing apprehension. But heat-shield experts in Houston did not think it was that bad, and they quickly decided nothing needed to be done.

The crew argued that it looked pretty bad to them, but Houston held firm and the mission proceeded as planned. Mullane deployed the satellite—a task that won him and his crewmates medals they were not allowed to wear in public—and Atlantis returned to land at Edwards AFB in the California desert.

It turned out that the crew was right about the tile damage. “There was already a knot of engineers gathered at the right forward fuselage shaking their heads in disbelief,” Mullane writes of the scene that awaited the crew as they exited the orbiter. “The damage was much worse than any of us had expected.”

Some 700 tiles had been gouged by what turned out to have been the nose cap from the booster rocket. The aluminum beneath the missing tile had started to melt, and Mullane says probably the only thing that prevented a burn-through was an antenna mount that required a thicker structure than elsewhere on the fuselage.

Robert “Hoot” Gibson, the STS-27 commander who told controllers from space that they did not seem to understand how serious the damage appeared, later found out that was exactly the case. Because it was a classified mission, the video downlink was encrypted, and as a result engineers on the ground were seeing Mullane’s robotic arm videos at lower resolution than the crew.


Had the reinforced carbon-carbon nose cap or starboard wing leading edge been penetrated by the debris that fell 85 sec. into the flight, or had the damaged tiles “unzipped” during reentry, Atlantis would have been destroyed. And because the mission’s 57-deg. inclination brought it back into the atmosphere over the Northern Pacific, the root cause of the loss might never have been discovered because the wreckage would have been lost at sea.

Coming on the second flight after the Challenger disaster, “that probably would have been the end of the program,” Gibson says.

That near-miss underscores a lesson that the Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB) put very succinctly in its August 2003 report: “Building rockets is hard.” Today, as NASA scrambles to find a new way to get humans into space, there is a danger that lesson has again been forgotten.

At NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, the roots of both accidents—and the near-accident on STS-27—can be traced back to shuttle components managed there. Challenger fell victim to a poorly designed field joint between two segments of one of its solid-fueled booster rockets, and Columbia was fatally damaged by a piece of foam insulation that dropped from the external tank onto one of the wing leading edges that the solid-boost tip narrowly missed on Atlantis. As a result, veterans of the shuttle projects run at Marshall have some very hard-won lessons on how to “cheat gravity,” as they like to say.

“You don’t become a spaceship until you’re going 17,500 mph.,” says John Chapman, who took over as manager of the external tank project after the Columbia accident and retired this year. “In order to do that, the laws of physics say you’re going to be operating on the margins. You’ve got to get the weight way down. You’re going to be dealing with pressures and temperatures that somewhat boggle the mind, and so you’re going to be challenging the performance capability of materials throughout the whole thing. The more you can know about the environment which you’re flying in and what those materials do in those environments, . . . the more you are liable to be able to make design adjustments and fabrication adjustments to cope with the fact that you actually are operating on the ragged edge.”

In the wake of the Columbia accident, Sean O’Keefe, the NASA administrator in charge at the time, made fun of the amateur “foamologists” in the media trying to understand the dawning realization that a flimsy piece of insulation from the shuttle’s external tank could crack the heat shield on a wing’s leading edge. Myron Pessin is a professional “foamologist” whose white paper on the subject was used by the CAIB (and is available in the web special at Aviation, Defense and Space News, Jobs, Conferences by AVIATION WEEK that accompanies this special report).

One lesson Pessin learned in working on the tank for 25 years is the difficulty of maintaining control of non-metallic materials like the foam and the adhesives that keep it attached to the tank. Sometimes nothing stands between specifications and an imperfect supply chain but the skill of a single worker, he says. On one occasion, the sampling program allowed an out-of-spec commercial primer to reach the factory floor at the Michoud Assembly Facility where the tanks are made.

“The technician who sprayed a 1,000-sq.-ft. dome said, ‘this isn’t the same material I’ve been spraying,’” Pessin says. “So we went back and discovered the vendor had put the wrong solvent reducer in the can. It was labeled properly. Everything was right, except the wrong material was in the can . . . . We had to hand-sand a 1,000-sq.-ft. dome to get the primer off.”

The expensive rework led to a new inspection program to ensure the chemicals used in preparing tanks meet specifications. A similar issue arose with the solid rocket boosters in 1996, when managers decided to destack STS-79 and replace its boosters because post-recovery inspection of the boosters from the previous flight showed hot gas had penetrated the field joints in an ominous echo of the failure that had destroyed Challenger a decade earlier.

The problem, says Deputy Shuttle Program Manager Steve Cash, was traced to a new water-based adhesive used to meet environmental regulations. The new adhesive had worked well in a hot-fire motor test in Utah, but the higher humidity in Florida changed its chemical characteristics. A divided management team decided to opt for caution and replace the boosters, says Cash, who was working the solid-fuel booster project at the time. The project switched back to the old adhesive under an Environmental Protection Agency waiver.

The approach—maintaining sharp vigilance over the systems and proceeding with caution when they do not act as expected—goes back to the earliest days of spaceflight. “We had von Braun,” says Alex McCool, an engineer and manager who started working for Wernher von Braun on the Redstone rocket in 1954 and who joined the shuttle program in 1972. “What he did, with his ‘board of directors,’ he instilled in us this idea of working together, checking, double-checking, testing components, subsystems, systems. Some things you can’t do, and you do the best you can.”

Perhaps nowhere has that lesson been applied with more rigor than in the space shuttle main engine (SSME) project. Despite its almost unbelievable operating parameters of -423-6,000F, 7,250 psi., 23,700 rpm., the reusable cryogenic engine has never caused an accident. Otto Goetz, the retired SSME chief engineer, attributes that to a continuous process of testing, research and upgrades.

“In the SSME program, we had principle that you never fly what you haven’t tested on the ground,” he says. “You never fly a configuration unless you have tested it on the ground, and on the ground we had the principle of fleet leader.”

That means the engines hot-fired in the test stands at Stennis Space Center are pushed harder than the engines that fly, leaving a performance margin that enhances robustness. “We didn’t compromise,” Goetz says.


cont'd....
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Old 12-09-2010, 11:57 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: The Space Shuttle's Lessons For The Future

There is a legacy in the work done on the shuttle program over the past 40 years that can be applied to whatever comes next in U.S. human spaceflight. Goetz says the computer models of engine conditions developed from the early days of trial and error on the SSME helped with more recent block upgrades in the engine, and will reduce the amount of trial and error needed on future engine developments. Materials work done across the shuttle stack will shape future developments, and the painful lessons learned from the accidents and other serious anomalies over the years do not need to be repeated.

But as NASA, the White House and Congress wrestle over the direction of the U.S. program, the edge in shuttle operations that has been honed over the past 40 years already is being lost.

Arnold Aldrich, an engineer whose career in human spaceflight ranges from Project Mercury through most of the shuttle program, including heading up its recovery after the Challenger accident, sees the shuttle as safer today than ever. Like many of his peers, including many of those still working in the engineering trenches at NASA, he has trouble understanding the current course change in U.S. space policy.

“With the termination of the space shuttle and the Constellation programs, the marvelously talented and experienced government/industry engineering and operations team for exploring space, which has been created and nurtured over the last half-century, should have a new national space exploration vision and program to apply its talent to,” Aldrich writes in an e-mail following up on a lengthy interview on lessons learned from the shuttle program. “It’s hard to understand the current administration laying off a large percentage of this workforce when the administration’s loudly proclaimed mantra is jobs, jobs, jobs. These are particularly good jobs, and the workforce comprises an indispensable national asset.”

Instead of its practice of developing space vehicles in fits and starts, he says, the U.S. would be better off if it followed the Russian model of building systems that are “very rugged and capable and proven over time” and then continuing to build on them. That approach, using shuttle components already proven in space, would serve well as NASA and Congress work out a way to move beyond low Earth orbit, he says.

The issue, Aldrich says, is not whether commercially operated rockets can be a viable alternative to government-owned routes to space, but where to go after that. “This commercial space thing does not deal with space exploration. It just deals with transporting things to low Earth orbit. That is not an exploration program, so I’d take that off the table. That’s a good thing. It’s going to take longer to come on line and evolve than people say it will take. And I think the business case to make it purely commercial is unlikely for the foreseeable future. But whether it happens or not, I think is a misunderstanding of the fact that that is not exploration of the Solar System.”

The shift to commercial crew transport and some other elements of NASA’s new approach have been sold as “affordability” issues, but Aldrich says that reflects a misalignment of national priorities. “What you have to do is envision what is our vision as a nation in space, and then proceed to put together a plan which includes people and technology and budgets to do that. If you look at some of the things that the nation has put money into in the last two years, in massive sums of billions of dollars, a few billion up or down on the NASA budget to me does not seem to be the critical point in making long-range, vital decisions for the nation.”

There is also a risk of paying a dollar later for a penny saved today, say those who have seen it over and over again in the shuttle program. Had NASA’s budget not been cut at the beginning of the shuttle program, its engineers might have been able to produce a fully reusable two-stage vehicle that bypassed the problems of unstoppable solid propellant and a configuration that stacked sources of debris above a fragile thermal protection system.

“You start out with a new program that requires you to establish this amount of margin, but those margins are never enough,” says John Thomas, who managed the redesign of the solid-fuel boosters for NASA after Challenger. “As the program progresses, you run into difficulties in design, manufacturing or unknown environments, or coupling of loads, and you start reducing those margins. Pretty soon we’re flying without a robust system, and that has been the case with every system that I know of that has been designed in the past. If we were to design on the front end, as aggressive as it might be at the time, to build in some unusual margins, and then make performance commensurate with that robustness, then you don’t run into these problems.”

Ultimately, however, Thomas and many of his colleagues agree that there must be a “compromise” between performance and cost. In today’s political environment, that compromise has not been reached at the political level, even if its limits are understood in NASA’s engineering organizations. That is a lesson from the shuttle program that has been handed down to those who will develop whatever comes next.

Mike Kynard is managing development of the J-2X cryogenic engine, an upgrade of the engine that powered the Saturn V upper stages. Selected for the same job in the Ares launch vehicles that have been scuttled along with the Constellation program, the first J-2X is in final assembly just as the funding dries up (AW&ST Nov. 15, p. 49). Kynard learned the ropes on the SSME project, where his mentor was Otto Goetz.

“Mr. Goetz told me to know the product very well, know what you’re doing, know what you’re building, be intimately familiar with what you’re doing, because in the liquid rocket business it can go bad in a hurry,” Kynard says. “He said the hardware knows the truth; you need to get to know the hardware. He also said once you feel comfortable that you have the information, don’t be afraid to make a decision. You’ve got to get on with it. You still have a job to do.”

http://www.aviationweek.com/aw/gener...l&headline=The Space Shuttle's Lessons For The Future&channel=awst
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